Workshop
on Confidence Limits
2728 March, 2000
Fermilab
1West Conference Room

Suggested
Reading
Note that Fred James will give a special series of three lectures
on the present
status in this field 2224 March. (Details will follow).
Participants may
find it useful to have read the following papers before the
Workshop:
 Unified approach to
the classical statistical analysis of small signals, by Gary Feldman
and Robert Cousins, Phys Rev D 57 (1998) 38733889
Preprint physics9711021 available at http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/physics/9711021
The lanl xxx version of the paper has been updated on 16 Dec.
to reflect the changes made in proof:
1) The definition of "sensitivity" in Sec. V(C). It was inconsistent
with the actual definition in Sec. VI. 2)
2) Note added in proof, which says that it was all obvious
from Kendall and Stuart all along.
For those who have access to the PRD server, the published version
is also available there.
 A new ordering principle
for the classical statistical analysis of Poisson processes with
background, by Carlo Giunti, Phys Rev D 59 (1999) 053001 16
Preprint hepph
9808240 (see also hepex 9901015) available at http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/hepph/9808240
and http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/hepex/9901015
respectively.
 Improved probability
method for estimating the signal in the presence of background,
by Byron Roe and Michael Woodroofe, Phys. Rev. D 60 (1999) 053009
15
Preprint physics 9812036 available at http://xxx.lanl.gov/abs/physics/9812036
 Inferring the intensity
of Poisson processes at the limit of the detector sensitivity
(with a case study on g.w. burst search), by Pia Astone and Giulio
D'Agostini CERNEP/99126, hepex/9909047
 Optimal statistical
analysis of search results based on the likelihood ratio and its
application to the search for the MSM Higgs boson at sqrt(s) =161
and 172 GeV 29 October, 1997 (public), A. L. Read, DELPHI 97158
PHYS 737
http://wwwinfo.cern.ch/~pubxx/www/delsec/delnote/public/97_158_phys_737.ps.gz
 Lower bound for the
SM Higgs boson mass: combined result from the four LEP experiments,
LEP working group for Higgs boson searches, CERN/LEPC 9711, LEPC/M
115
http://www.cern.ch/LEPHIGGS/papers/TN518/
Useful background including
many further references:
 Bayesian reasoning
in HighEnergy Physics: Principles and applications, by Giulio
D'Agostini, CERN Yellow Report 9903
(In reading the Yellow Report, it is recommended also to consult
the author's Web page: http://wwwzeus.roma1.infn.it/~agostini/YRaq.txt
where he has collected comments from various people claiming
there are mathematical errors and problems of interpretation in
the report)
 Why isn't every physicist
a Bayesian, by Robert Cousins, Am. J. Phys. 63 (1995) 398410
Comments to
Harry
W.K. Cheung  Last modified on
Monday, 10Jan2000
